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“Shorestein Says” NFL Picks – Week 14

Baltimore +5.5 @ Pittsburgh: I like the Ravens as FG+ underdogs this week.  The Steelers will be without several key players in Shazier and Ju Ju Smith Shuster.  The number that stands out to me this week has been the Ravens performance within the AFC North.  Since 2016, the Ravens are 7-2 ATS within their division, and I really like their ability to bounce back from their early season loss to the Steelers.  Big Ben has been...

Sunday’s NFL-2nd SET play & write-up.

.   *SUNDAY’S PLAYS (12-03): {NFL-2nd SET}   *REGULAR PLAY ON:   #370 New Orleans Saints -5 (3*) (EZ 31-21 Winner!) ……Note: A perfectly handicapped game with total all-around dominance by the Saints again. To bad they all don’t follow suit and come this easy.    The Saints are coming off their first loss after winning 8 straight games. Their first order of business is correcting what went...

Razor NFL week 13 Thursday Nighter

Redskins/Cowboys: Crowder has become Kirk Cousins’ favorite target in the passing game the past month or so. In his last 4 games, he has seen 10.5 targets a game with 27 catches in those games. The Cowboys aren’t a good team at covering slot wide receivers, and Crowder may be one of the best in the game. With a depleted running game, I see Cousins using the passing game to move the chains against this cowboys...

“Shorestein Says” NFL Picks – Week 13

Carolina @ New Orleans -4:  The Panthers have to be the worst 8-3 team in the history of the NFL.  From a passer rating differential standpoint they are a -13…. only a handful of teams rank worse in that category.  Here is a chart that provides some perspective on that number: The Saints on the other hand are one of the top teams in that vital statistic.  I think the Saints will bounce back from their tough loss last...

Razor NFL Week 13

Eagles/Seahawks: The 49ers were not able to exploit the depleted Seahawks defense last weekend. They could not protect the QB and could not convert on 3rd downs. The Eagles have one of the elite offensive lines in football, and have weapons all across their offense. I see success from this Philadelphia offense and Carson Wentz. On the flip side, Russell Wilson is an elite QB and should get his share of points in this game. I...

NFL Monday Nighter Week 12

Combined Teaser: First part of the teaser is the game tonight in prime time taking the Ravens at home against the Texans. Ravens have 3 shutout wins this season, all against teams playing backup QBs. Tonight, the Texans will be starting one of their own backups in Tom Savage. I don’t see Savage coming into Baltimore and stealing a win from this dominant defense. The 2nd leg is on the redskins who will be playing on...

NFL Week 12

Seahawks/49ers: Rookie quarterback CJ Beathard has progressively gotten better since the 49ers made the QB change from Brian Hoyer. The 49ers are coming off a bye and the Seahawks are on short rest after playing the Monday night game where they lost to the Falcons. With big injuries to this Seattle defense, I can see success for the 49ers offense. The Seahawks are missing their two top cornerbacks, Richard Sherman and Shaq...

Razor NFL Thanksgiving

Giants/Redskins: Chris Thompson being out for the redskins is a huge blow for this offense. He was big for the running game but more importantly, he was a big target for Cousins in the passing averaging over 13 yards per reception. The Redskins are still banged up on the offensive line and only left with one legitimate running back, Rookie Samaje Perine. The Giants defense looked to play with less motivation for a couple of...

“Shorestein Says” NFL Picks – Week 12

**Thanksgiving Breakdown**     Minnesota at Detroit +3: After the Vikings earned me a nice W last week, I’m jumping ship and playing the Lions in their annual Thanksgiving game.  At home, the Lions have been an offensive machine.  Stafford’s elite play is even more apparent in Mo-Town.  After struggling against the Bears rushing attack on the road, expect to see the Lions take that away from the Vikings....

Razor NFL Week 11

Broncos -2.5(-115), value up to -3(EV) – 3 units I see a lot of line value here. Both teams are having down years, but I see value in this line for the home team. The Bengals are in a very tough spot this Sunday as it will be their 3rd straight road game and 4th road game in 5 weeks. Not only can travel wear down this team, but their defense seems to be wearing down as well. Last week at Tennessee, their defense was on the...

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