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Missouri Mystery

Missouri Mystery When I was scanning through the boxscores this past weekend, looking for stat summaries that didn’t match the final score…I noticed that Missouri only outgained Central Florida 322-299 in a game the Tigers won big on the scoreboard 38-10. My first thought was…AGAIN?! Missouri’s played three games this season…and all three scoreboard results were much larger than the raw stats would have indicated. Missouri...

Closing Line Value

It seems like the talk of the sports gaming world lately has been about Closing Line Value. The closing line is the line at the sportsbooks when the game is about to start. It is the most accurate line because all of the money has been bet.  Closing line value is determined by comparing the line you bet vs the line that was last available before the game started. Regardless of winning or losing your bet, the overall theory...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s week # 4 College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of this week’s key match-ups, including the big ACC game between Clemson and Florida State.      You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any questions or comments please leave us a message below....

The Stats Behind “Black Saturday” in the Big Ten...

The Stats Behind “Black Saturday” in the Big Ten  It was a narrative that started very early Saturday…and kept right on running through the final minutes of prime time television. The Big Ten was suffering a DISASTER of epic proportions. That may seem odd when you’re talking about an 8-5 straight up record (yes, the mislabeled Big “10” now has 14 teams, Indiana was idle). But, when you look at expectations, the scoreboard...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s week # 3 College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of this week’s key match-ups, including the big SEC game between Georgia and South Carolina. We also name the four teams we would put in the college football playoff as of this moment.   You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any questions or comments please leave us a message...

Misleading Final Scores – Week 1

Combing College Boxscores for Misleading Finals, Provocative Statements Now that the regular season has arrived, we’ll be devoting the bulk of time and space in this midweek “stat” feature toward developments gleaned from boxscores. Some weeks, that will mean we’ll focus in depth on a misleading final score that painted a very inaccurate picture of what happened on the field. Other times we’ll isolate red flags that seem to...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s week # 2 College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of this week’s key match-ups, including two big games out in Pac-12 country. You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes.   If you have any questions or comments please leave us a message below. Thanks.  ...

College Football Stats – Focus on what they ...

Focus on What Stats MEAN, Rather Than Numbers With the first official “board” games of the 2014 college football season beginning Thursday night, this is a good time to focus on evaluating the statistics that you’re about to see accumulated on a game-by-game basis.  What’s been considered a recent “analytics revolution” in the world of sports hasn’t really taken hold in college football. Sure, there have been advancements in...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

The 2014 season kicks off this Thursday. Here is the second part of our week # 1 College Football handicapping podcast.  In last week’s podcast, SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discussed all the Thursday & Friday games. This week on The Saturday Edge college football podcast they’ll be discussing the Saturday and Sunday games for week # 1, including all the major match-ups.  You can subscribe to TSE...

Be Flexible, and SMART With Power Ratings

Be Flexible, and SMART With Power Ratings  Many handicappers use Power Ratings or Computer Ratings to get a quick assessment of teams when evaluating college football. It’s important not to be blinded by those ratings when contemplating erratic teams who rarely play to their projections.  A great example of this phenomenon is the Baylor Bears of 2013. Under head coach Art Briles, Baylor is a high octane team that loves to...