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Ohio State is the Clear National Champions

In last week’s preview, we talked about how Ohio State’s stats vs. Alabama represented “the boxscore of a champion” because of advantages at the point of attack, in third down conversions, and defense (holding Alabama well below its norms). We also talked about how Oregon’s blowout of Florida State wasn’t representative of what’s normally considered championship style football because champions don’t allow over 500 yards…and...

Previewing Oregon vs. Ohio State for the National ...

Previewing Oregon vs. Ohio State for the National Championship  Here in the extended interlude between the National Semifinals played on New Year’s Day, and Championship Night set for Monday January 12, let’s review the key stats from the Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl to see if they provide any hints about what to expect when Oregon battles Ohio State for college football supremacy… ROSE BOWL STATS Final Score: Oregon 59, Florida...

Previewing the College Football Final Four

Previewing the College Football Final Four College football’s long awaited National Championship tournament is imminent! Oregon will take on Florida State Thursday in the Rose Bowl, followed immediately by Alabama vs. Ohio State in the Sugar Bowl. The two winners will meet Monday night January 12 in the Cowboys cathedral in Texas to determine a champion. Here’s a quick look at what may be linchpin statistical factors in both...

Using “Conference-Only” Stats to Get Accurate Read...

Using “Conference-Only” Stats to Get Accurate Reads As a stathead, probably the most disappointing element of the “debate” this season about who belonged in college football’s Final Four was the absence of discussion about statistics. It’s as if everyone decided looking at stats was just too complicated, so let’s just follow some simple rules: Any undefeated Power 5 team gets in (Florida State) The SEC champ gets in...

“Analytics” and the Final Four

“Analytics” and the Final Four  If you’re involved with college football handicapping, or “analytics” in general, you were probably very frustrated this past weekend by the mainstream media discussions of the selection process for the national championship tournament. It wasn’t anywhere near a complete discussion. The networks generally had pundits who each voiced their opinion…and they kept repeating variations of that same...

How Big a “Pretender” is Florida State?

How Big a “Pretender” is Florida State? The Florida State Seminoles are providing quite a conundrum for the championship tournament selection committee. On one hand, a team that went undefeated in a Power 5 conference should obviously be included in the Final Four if they win this week’s ACC Championship game over Georgia Tech. It would be unprecedented to rank a team like that out of the championship contending mix. On the...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s Championship week College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of the key match-ups, including all the Power Five Championship games between Ohio State and Wisconsin, Arizona and Oregon, Missouri and Alabama, Florida State and Georgia Tech and a few of the important Big 12 match-ups.   You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any...

Is Alabama Really the Best Team in the Nation?

Is Alabama Really the Best Team in the Nation? Its recent win over Mississippi State pushed the Alabama Crimson Tide up to the #1 spot in the weekly poll released by the championship tournament selection committee. ‘Bama will try to hold onto that spot and the top seed in the brackets this Saturday in the Iron Bowl at home against Auburn…and then again in the SEC Championship game December 6 in Atlanta. Is Alabama really the...

November Nerves

November Nerves It’s not uncommon in the world of sports to see a “must-win” team lay a humongous egg when pressure gets to them late in a season. They take an inferior opponent too lightly. Suddenly they’re in a dogfight against a dog that wasn’t supposed to be live. The new Final Four format in college football put a couple of highly regarded teams under pressure last week…leading to embarrassing results. #4 TCU (-29)...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s week # 13 College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of this week’s key match-ups, including several big conference games this week between Minnesota and Nebraska, Wisconsin and Iowa, Arizona and Utah and the big one out in LA between USC and UCLA.   You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any questions or comments please leave...