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Handicapping the 2015 National Championship Future...

I’ll be the first to admit that when it comes to National Championship futures, there hasn’t been much money to be made in the last 10 years or so. The big upsets just haven’t been there because of the way the old BCS system worked. The biggest long shot of the past 10 years was probably Auburn. But if you were paying attention to a certain trend, maybe they weren’t really that big of a long shot...

2015 National Championship Future Bets

With National Signing Day and Spring Games officially in the books, college football enters the dog days of summer until fall camps begin in August. However, from a wagering perspective, this is the time of year that Las Vegas offers yet another sector of moneymaking.  Future bets. More specifically, 2015 National Championship future bets. Not for the faint-hearted, these betting tickets require insurmountable patience for...

Heading to the Golden Nugget with these GOY lines ...

I’m heading to the Golden Nugget for College Football openers on June 26th.  With travel plans locked in, I wanted to make sure I had a stance on every single College Football game for the year.  When Game of the Year numbers are released, its important to realize what the psyche of a team is in the middle of October/November.  Are they off a road stretch?  Did they just face their rivalry?  Are they off a Bye Week? When...

Buy and Sell- March Madness Edition

Buy and Sell   During the last month of the regular season I wrote a weekly article on teams that were over valuded and teams underrated by the public. This is useful information because when a team is overvalued it leads to inflaighted lines by sportsbooks giving value to the cotrarian bettor. The same with a team scrutinized or faded by bettors leads to favorable lines in that teams favor. The idea is much like trading in...

College Basketball Value Betting Week of 3/2/15

College Basketball Value Betting Week of 3/2/15 Its hardly ever a good idea to blindly fade or bet for certain teams but there is opportunity to gain value betting against public perception. In last weeks article on who to buy and sell the teams suggested to buy went 2-2 while only one of the teams on the sell list underperformed. Iowa State was 0-2 last week ATS on the sell list but both Wichita State and Villanova were...

CCons College Basketball Pick 3/1

YTD record 4-3 UConn +1.5 The UConn Huskies face a ranked 23-5 SMU team at home today. This matchup is exactly two weeks since the SMU mustangs beat UConn by 18 points at home in the last matchup between these two teams. SMU has won seven straight road games and their last five overall. UConn is one in four ATS in their last five games. So why do I like UConn today? UConn needs a quality win to bolster their resume for the...

College Basketball Value Betting Week of 2/23

Now that we are in the final weeks of the college basketball season, there is solid value betting against public perception. Last week I gave out three teams to buy and three teams to sell. The three teams I suggested to sell (Arizona, Kansas, and Oklahoma) went a combined 1-5 ATS for the week. Like I advised the lines on these teams would be inflated giving us value betting against them. The teams that I gave a buy rating...

College Basketball Value Betting Week of 2/17/15

Down the stretch of the college basketball season is one the best times to find value betting against public perception. Public perception is engrained in bettors, which creates opportunity for those who know how to find it. Just like the stock market, the goal is to buy low and sell high. So here are some teams I’m buying and selling this week 2/17/15:   Sell #7 Arizona Wildcats – They have covered 8 of...

Ohio State is the Clear National Champions

In last week’s preview, we talked about how Ohio State’s stats vs. Alabama represented “the boxscore of a champion” because of advantages at the point of attack, in third down conversions, and defense (holding Alabama well below its norms). We also talked about how Oregon’s blowout of Florida State wasn’t representative of what’s normally considered championship style football because champions don’t allow over 500 yards…and...

Previewing Oregon vs. Ohio State for the National ...

Previewing Oregon vs. Ohio State for the National Championship  Here in the extended interlude between the National Semifinals played on New Year’s Day, and Championship Night set for Monday January 12, let’s review the key stats from the Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl to see if they provide any hints about what to expect when Oregon battles Ohio State for college football supremacy… ROSE BOWL STATS Final Score: Oregon 59, Florida...
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