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“Analytics” and the Final Four

“Analytics” and the Final Four  If you’re involved with college football handicapping, or “analytics” in general, you were probably very frustrated this past weekend by the mainstream media discussions of the selection process for the national championship tournament. It wasn’t anywhere near a complete discussion. The networks generally had pundits who each voiced their opinion…and they kept repeating variations of that same...

How Big a “Pretender” is Florida State?

How Big a “Pretender” is Florida State? The Florida State Seminoles are providing quite a conundrum for the championship tournament selection committee. On one hand, a team that went undefeated in a Power 5 conference should obviously be included in the Final Four if they win this week’s ACC Championship game over Georgia Tech. It would be unprecedented to rank a team like that out of the championship contending mix. On the...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s Championship week College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of the key match-ups, including all the Power Five Championship games between Ohio State and Wisconsin, Arizona and Oregon, Missouri and Alabama, Florida State and Georgia Tech and a few of the important Big 12 match-ups.   You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any...

Is Alabama Really the Best Team in the Nation?

Is Alabama Really the Best Team in the Nation? Its recent win over Mississippi State pushed the Alabama Crimson Tide up to the #1 spot in the weekly poll released by the championship tournament selection committee. ‘Bama will try to hold onto that spot and the top seed in the brackets this Saturday in the Iron Bowl at home against Auburn…and then again in the SEC Championship game December 6 in Atlanta. Is Alabama really the...

November Nerves

November Nerves It’s not uncommon in the world of sports to see a “must-win” team lay a humongous egg when pressure gets to them late in a season. They take an inferior opponent too lightly. Suddenly they’re in a dogfight against a dog that wasn’t supposed to be live. The new Final Four format in college football put a couple of highly regarded teams under pressure last week…leading to embarrassing results. #4 TCU (-29)...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s week # 13 College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of this week’s key match-ups, including several big conference games this week between Minnesota and Nebraska, Wisconsin and Iowa, Arizona and Utah and the big one out in LA between USC and UCLA.   You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any questions or comments please leave...

Did the Scores Tell the Story in Saturday’s Showca...

Did the Scores Tell the Story in Saturday’s Showcases?  This past Saturday was called “Survival Saturday” in the media, with six games matching teams who were rated in the top 17 of the tournament selection committee’s poll entering the weekend. The losers would have no shot to reach the Final Four. Not with a prominent November blemish added to resume’s that already had at least one loss each. The winners were still in the...

Put “Out of the Limelight” Into Your Spotlight

Put “Out of the Limelight” Into Your Spotlight  We’ve come to the point in the season where the bulk of media coverage is focused on the National Championship chase and various conference races. Because the legal betting markets are strongly influenced by public interest (the big TV games generate the most action), a sports bettor’s biggest advantage can come from recognizing what’s been happening in “out of the limelight”...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

Here is The Saturday Edge’s week # 11 College Football handicapping podcast. SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss several of this week’s key match-ups, including several big conference games this week between Kansas State and TCU, Alabama and LSU, Ohio State and Michigan State and Notre Dame at Arizona State.     You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any questions or comments please leave us a...

Can College Football’s “Final FourR...

Can College Football’s “Final Four” Be Selected Based on Stats? You can already tell after Tuesday night’s formal announcement of the initial rankings of the playoff selection committee that the evaluation process of college football teams is going to be front and center from this point forward in the 2014 season. Parts of the country which are happy with the rankings are going to make their case. Parts...