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Searching for the middle when wagering on College ...

Wagering on football every Saturday and Sunday during the season is the greatest joy of the week for me. I have fun betting parlays, teaser’s, live betting, scalping, betting early line  moves, betting late line moves, betting props, and of course trying to middle a game or two. So how do you middle a football game you ask?  Well first you need multiple places to bet, such as a couple offshore books, local books,...

Paying Attention to Big Line Moves

One of the things you hear a lot is to make sure you’re always getting the best number. I’m guilty of it, and I’ve never broken down how it’s done historically, because there isn’t really readily available opening line data out there. Paying attention to big line moves sometimes is smoke and mirrors. Big bettors can manipulate the market on a Thursday to move lines so they can come back later at...

Coaches with Extra Time to Prepare: Complete List

Since my last post, “Betting on teams with extra time to prepare”, my database has grown. I mined a little more data and pulled in the remaining coaches with extra time to prepare for the remainder of the FBS schools. I’ve posted the complete list of coaches below. Assuming -110 odds, each of the first 51 coaches has been profitable when having extra time to prepare. Something ironic I found was that while...

Betting on Teams with Extra Time to Prepare

Betting on Teams with Extra Time to Prepare One of the things I hear quite a bit during the season is that a certain team benefits from having extra time to prepare. You’ll hear things like, “Oh man, Alabama is off a bye this week. Nick Saban with more time to prepare for an opponent? Lay the points!” Sounds like good logic. Saban and Alabama have been incredibly successful in recent memory. What bothers me is a lot of...

Handicapping the Early College Football Season

Many people have recently asked me what the difference is between handicapping the early college football season and the “regular” season.  In the early part of the season we typically have some out of conference match-ups, and a time for learning. Don’t confuse that though with there not being any value, because there is lots. Here are some of the things to look for that are different than the traditional...

2014 SEC Totals – The Revenge of the Defense

Offense was the name of the game in the SEC during the 2013 college football season. The conference best known for its elite defenses and power running games put up points in bunches last year thanks to its elite quarterback play. The SEC has never had as much quarterback talent as it had in 2013. The conference produced 5 of the countries top 12 quarterbacks in passing efficiency and five 3,000 yard passers overall. SEC...

2014 PAC 12 Totals – Look to go OVER like RO...

2013 was a great year for college football in the PAC 12. The conference sent 9 teams to bowl games and came away with a 6-3 bowl record. The conference was as deep as it’s ever been in 2013 and a record six teams ended up ranked in the final Associated Press poll. Top to bottom it was arguably the best conference in the country. The conference has always been known for its high flying offenses and NFL caliber...

The Road to the 2014 National Championship from a ...

Here is my thought process when I am determining whether or not to place a futures bet on a team to win the National Championship. First, the new playoff system has completely changed how I think about betting futures, Let’s say a team with a reasonably easy schedule like Louisville had last year were to go undefeated and win AAC conference. A conference by the way that doesn’t have a conference championship...

Finding an edge during bowl season

Bowl season has arrived and for college football bettors it should be looked upon as an entirely new season.  It will also be a little tougher to find value, as the oddsmakers have had time and 14 weeks of college football to sharpen the line.  But don’t get too discouraged. There are ways to find value in the postseason.   In this article I will give you 3 things to look for when evaluating a bowl game and how you can...

GoSooners 2013 Bowl Strategies & Early Though...

I’ll be adding to this post as the bowl season moves along. But I just wanted to add a few of my thoughts on the bowl games and how I approach bowl season in general. Preference for the Dog Like Pezgordo, I’m not particularly a fan of the favorites in these bowls. But like the regular season, I’m not afraid to play them either when I feel they are getting a favorable line or spot. As a rule for the dogs in...