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Be Flexible, and SMART With Power Ratings

Be Flexible, and SMART With Power Ratings  Many handicappers use Power Ratings or Computer Ratings to get a quick assessment of teams when evaluating college football. It’s important not to be blinded by those ratings when contemplating erratic teams who rarely play to their projections.  A great example of this phenomenon is the Baylor Bears of 2013. Under head coach Art Briles, Baylor is a high octane team that loves to...

Halftime Wagering – Second Half Betting Stra...

Halftime Wagering – Second Half Betting Strategies  Last week we talked about creative ways to bet underdogs using first quarter and first half options in college football. Seems natural to move to strategies for attacking second half pointspreads this week.  One of the main points of that discussion was that “live” situational underdogs often fade in the second half because they run out of gas, or because their...

The Saturday Edge 2014 College Football Podcast – ...

The 2014 season is nearly upon us, so here is the first installment of our weekly College Football handicapping podcast.  This week on The Saturday Edge college football podcast, TSE handicapper’s SabertStxVii, Pezgordo and GoSooners discuss all the Thursday & Friday games for week # 1, including all the major match-ups.  You can subscribe to TSE Podcast on iTunes. If you have any questions or comments please leave...

2014 Big 12 Trap Games

Here are some trap games and potential bad spots in the Big 12 this season. Of course this is all subject to change depending on how these teams do coming into these games. But here are the most likely trap games. Every team will probably experience a loss in one of these games since the Big 12 hasn’t had an undefeated champion since going to the round robin format.   Kansas State over Oklahoma…This game...

Getting Creative With Underdogs

It’s common knowledge in the sports betting industry that recreational bettors prefer betting favorites to betting underdogs. They feel more comfortable investing in the superior team. They believe there’s “insurance” because a favorite can struggle for a half or three quarters before pulling away at the end to cover the spread anyway. And, they’ve probably fallen prey to media hype that usually surrounds the superior team...

Betting Moneyline Dogs

With college football season fast approaching, it’s time to start developing a plan of attack for 2014. With the higher payouts that betting moneyline dogs provides, a lot of bettors may forgo taking points and only betting the moneyline, but is that smart? Over the past few years, I’ve always taken the points but also bet a little bit on the moneyline. @So_Money_Sports has always been a proponent of sprinkling a little bit...

Searching for the middle when wagering on College ...

Wagering on football every Saturday and Sunday during the season is the greatest joy of the week for me. I have fun betting parlays, teaser’s, live betting, scalping, betting early line  moves, betting late line moves, betting props, and of course trying to middle a game or two. So how do you middle a football game you ask?  Well first you need multiple places to bet, such as a couple offshore books, local books,...

Paying Attention to Big Line Moves

One of the things you hear a lot is to make sure you’re always getting the best number. I’m guilty of it, and I’ve never broken down how it’s done historically, because there isn’t really readily available opening line data out there. Paying attention to big line moves sometimes is smoke and mirrors. Big bettors can manipulate the market on a Thursday to move lines so they can come back later at...

Coaches with Extra Time to Prepare: Complete List

Since my last post, “Betting on teams with extra time to prepare”, my database has grown. I mined a little more data and pulled in the remaining coaches with extra time to prepare for the remainder of the FBS schools. I’ve posted the complete list of coaches below. Assuming -110 odds, each of the first 51 coaches has been profitable when having extra time to prepare. Something ironic I found was that while...

Betting on Teams with Extra Time to Prepare

Betting on Teams with Extra Time to Prepare One of the things I hear quite a bit during the season is that a certain team benefits from having extra time to prepare. You’ll hear things like, “Oh man, Alabama is off a bye this week. Nick Saban with more time to prepare for an opponent? Lay the points!” Sounds like good logic. Saban and Alabama have been incredibly successful in recent memory. What bothers me is a lot of...