Handicapping Tutorial – Part 5

If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to our RSS feed. Thanks for visiting!At this point in the Handicapping Tutorial Series, we have covered the basic strategy on how I project a score output for each team on the ground and through the air. These output projections are rarely perfectly round numbers, so what do we do? This is the human element of handicapping, of course aided by...

Handicapping Tutorial – Part 4

In Part 4 of the Handicapping Tutorial Series, we will continue to build on the head to head model that we debuted in Part 3. This will get deeper into the different situations we see in a football game and which ones are most important, but first, lets do a quick review of what the previous 3 Handicapping Series provided. Handicapping Tutorial Summary Part 1: In Part 1 of the series, I provided...

Money Management – An introduction to the Ke...

An introduction to the Kelly Criterion. A few weeks ago we had a guest post talking about proper bankroll management and last week I introduced the concept of Advantage Wagering and Expected Value. Today I am going to introduce you to the Kelly Criterion, which combines the concept of bankroll management and advantage wagering to help you determine your optimal bet size. The Kelly...

How to calculate Expected Value

Calculating Expected Value for Advantage Wagering  Last month we sent out a survey to our readers and one of the questions was “what type of college football betting content and information can we add to the site that would make it better?” The overwhelming answer was more “How to handicap college football” articles throughout the offseason. The suggestions for specific articles were...

Bankroll Management

Bankroll management may be the most important part of gambling, but when it comes to betting on sports I’d say less than 5% actually pay attention to their bankroll and manage it properly. Bankroll management is simply managing the money that you plan on betting with. Properly managing a bankroll is the difference between being able to make a living betting on sports or just being a weekend...

2012-13 Potential Bowl Running Dogs

Back in 2006 I read somewhere (I can’t even remember where I read it) something to the effect that an underdog who outrushed their opponent will cover the spread 66.67% of the time (2 out of 3 times). I started tracking the theory and sure enough it was more or less true. Of course what good is an after the fact theory? It is like saying that any team who outscores their opponent will win...

College Football Bowl Pick’em Selections and...

Other than March Madness, the College Football Bowl Season is one of the most popular times for pick’em contests and office pools. Most pools are designed to select straight up winners,  ranking each game by confidence. This is the format we will provide our picks in. All of the picks will be put together and averaged out to derive an “official TSE recommendation”. You will ...

TSE Week 14 Guest Handicapper Challenge

Last week it seemed like almost everyone that participated in our Saturday Edge Guest Handicapper Challenge went 4-1. But our winner, Derek Johnson,  went a 5-0. By my count the winner of the challenge has went a perfect 5-0 in four of the eight challenges.    TSE Featured Guest Handicapper for Week # 14 Our winner last week was Derek Johnson and here are his plays for Saturday. I will...