Last week we held our very first Saturday Edge Guest Handicapper Challenge and we had 18 readers submit their 5 best picks of the week. However, as anticipated, we had a few glitches. We ended up with three readers going 4-1, a mere 80% which is awesome, but unfortunately I did not properly explain the tie-breaker procedure until after the fact, so understandably there was some dissent.
My solution was to ask all three winners if they wouldn’t mind “sharing” the Guest Handicapper spot this one time, and I would also try and make the tie-breaker rules more understandable going forward. The three winners last week were MoMoney, Spencer L and Winston. Based on the tie-breaker method I used last week, I deemed Spencer L the winner. However, Spencer has agreed to write a separate article for TSE this week, so the Featured Guest Handicappers will be MoMoney and Winston.
Here is a quick synopsis of the challenge. Each week, as many college football handicappers that want to can submit 5 games ATS in the comments section below. On Sunday morning I’ll figure out which handicapper had the best record, and the following week that handicapper will be the featured guest handicapper on The Saturday Edge.
He (or she?) can submit 5 selections with detailed analysis the following week. They can submit their bio, picture(s), website address, twitter address, email address, anything that is appropriate.
At the same time the challenge will be ongoing so there is a possibility that each week a different Guest Handicapper will be featured on the site.
Last weeks Guest Handicapper Challenge winners, both with 4-1 records, MoMoney and Winston.
MoMoney’s picks for week # 8
Arizona St (+10)
This is the game ASU has been looking forward to since off season work outs. A Thursday night prime time home game with the whole country watching. 10 points is a lot to lay on the road in a hostile environment against a good defense and an offense that can put up enough points themselves. ASU is avg. 464 yds/game and 36 pts/game. While ORE numbers are a bit better, the ASU defense is better than anything they have faced so far. I also like that fact that ORE is sending in a Freshman QB into an environment that he has never seen before. It is ASU’s defense that is going to get them the cover in this one. I think ORE will pull out a close one, but ASU has enough to hang around and make this one interesting. Oregon 34 Arizona St. 27
Rutgers is not a flashy team, but they are solid. I don’t think enough has been said about how good the RUT defense has been. They are only allowing 58 yds/game on the ground. Temple is not going to be able to move the ball in this one. Temple is avg. less than 300 yds/game so I don’t see them able to move the ball well enough to put up points in this one. At 23.5 pts/game on avg. I just don’t see them able to score enough to keep it within 5. Rutgers 27 Temple 17
Ball St (-3.5)
The bottom line here is that the Ball St offense is pretty darn good, and C. Mich. defense isn’t. Ball St. averages nearly 500 yds/game on offense and has scored 33 pts/game. C. Mich. is giving up nearly 500 yds/game and nearly 40 pts/game. C. Mich has given up 136 pts in the past three weeks, just not enough defense here for the Chippewas. Ball St. 38 C. Michigan 31
N. Illinois (-14)
Jordan Lynch is been really……really good the past few weeks. N. Illinois has only lost one game all year (by 1 point) to an Iowa team at home, yeah the same Iowa team that just beat Michigan St. N. Illinois is rushing for over 240 yds/game and is scoring just under 37 pts/game. Combine that with a solid defense and the Zips don’t have a chance. Akron is near the bottom of all Div I teams in points allowed at 38/game so I see more of Jordan Lynch through the air and on the ground. Akron has had games giving up 56, 41, 47, 56, and 34 points so far this year. N. Illinois doesn’t just cover they cover big. Northern Illinois 45 Akron 21 (tie-breaker score)
I think the wrong team is favored here. Take a look at some of these stats.
Total off: UL-Monroe – 485 yds/game, W. Kent. – 367 yds/game.
Rushing Off: UL-Monroe – 197 yds/game W. Kent. – 186 yds/game
Passing Off: UL-Monroe – 288 yds/game W. Kent. – 181 yds/game
Points Per Game: UL-Monroe – 38.8 PPG W. Kent. – 26.2 PPG
Points Allowed Per Game: UL-Monroe – 25.0 PPG W. Kent – 24.4 PPG
Monroe racks up more yards per game, they run the ball better, they pass the ball better, they score more points per game and the defenses are about a wash, yet they are getting 3.5 points. I have been riding La-Monroe just about all year and they have done me well. W. Kentucky beat Monroe last year by 3 in OT and this Monroe team is much better. Not only will Monroe be within 3.5, but they will win the game out right. LA-Monroe 31 W. Kentucky 27
Winston’s picks for week # 8
ASU + 10
I got this at 10 earlier in the week and I just noticed it has slid to 8, I am not sure what line I am supposed to use for the purposes of this but I used the one I wagered on. I also parlayed ASU + 14 1/2 -190 into several bets. ASU had a bunch of turnovers and didn’t play well in their solitary loss at Missouri, I believe that was an aberation. I like the speed, defense, coaching and physicality of the Sun Devil team. Oregon is a very good team but I keep thinking back to the fact that they have a freshman QB on the road for their first real test of the year. This will be an interesting game to watch and for the first time we have a decent game on Thursday night football. Oregon 31-30
Kansas State +2 1/2
This will be a high scoring game and in these kind of games the better defense usually prevails. Even though K State beat Oklahoma at their place they still get no national respect. All we see is Colin Klein run, good coaching and error free football. What’s wrong with that? West Virginia’s defense couldn’t stop a cold. Kansas State 48-35
Cal +2 1/2
Stanford has 87% of the betting public behind them as of today and I don’t buy it. Cal has very good athletes but a bi-polar QB (Maynard) who scares me to death, but I still like them in this spost. Keenan Allen is a top 5 NFL pick and they have speed to burn on defense and offense. Cal 28-17
Texas A & M + 3 1/2
This is another game I am going against the public bigtime. Lsu has a terrible offense, they are 74th in the entire nation. Their defense is first class but I like A & M to win this game by wearing out LSU similar to what Florida did. I like home dogs in the SEC. 17-14 A & M (tie-breaker selection)
Michigan State +10
Like the Spartans to keep it close in this rivalry game. They have looked lousy the last two weeks but there will be no problem in motivating MSU this week. Michigan 21-17
Anyone can enter. Just place your 5 Best Picks ATS in the comments section below.
2. There cannot be any duplicate cards. So if someone has already selected the 5 games in which you were going to play, you must change at least one of your sides/totals.
3. Please use current spreads and totals.
4. Please do not buy points. If the current spread is +2.5, do not use +3 (-120), etc.
1. Please submit ONE FINAL SCORE for any game of your choice among your 5 picks. Obviously if this game loses, then you automatically lose your chance to be involved in the tie-breaker. So choose wisely which game you will use for your final score.
2. I will then take the actual final score difference of the game you selected, minus your projected final score difference to determine your tie-breaker number. So if ASU beats Oregon this week 38-31 and you predicted ASU to win 41-38, your tie-breaker number would be 4 (actual difference 7 minus projected difference 3 = 4).
3. If there is still a tie, we will than see which combined score is closest to the actual combined score ……. in other words the total.
That’s it for this week. Hopefully things go a little smoother this time. Also, please feel free to leave any comments or suggestions on how we can improve the concept.