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TSE Week 8 Guest Handicapper Challenge

TSE Week 8 Guest Handicapper Challenge

Last week we held our very first Saturday Edge Guest Handicapper Challenge and we had 18 readers submit their 5 best picks of the week. However, as anticipated, we had a few glitches. We ended up with three readers going 4-1, a mere 80% which is awesome, but unfortunately I did not properly explain the tie-breaker procedure until after the fact, so understandably there was some dissent.

My solution was to ask all three winners if they wouldn’t mind “sharing” the Guest Handicapper spot this one time, and I would also try and make the tie-breaker rules more understandable going forward. The three winners last week were MoMoney, Spencer L and Winston. Based on the tie-breaker method I used last week, I deemed Spencer L the winner. However, Spencer has agreed to write a separate article for TSE this week, so the Featured Guest Handicappers will be MoMoney and Winston.

Overview

Here is a quick synopsis of the challenge. Each week, as many college football handicappers that want to can submit 5 games ATS in the comments section below. On Sunday morning I’ll figure out which handicapper had the best record, and the following week that handicapper will be the featured guest handicapper on The Saturday Edge.

He  (or she?) can submit 5 selections with detailed analysis the following week. They can submit their bio, picture(s), website address, twitter address, email address, anything that is appropriate.

At the same time the challenge will be ongoing so there is a possibility that each week a different Guest Handicapper will be featured on the site.

TSE Featured Guest Handicapper(s) for Week # 8

Last weeks Guest Handicapper Challenge winners, both with 4-1 records, MoMoney and Winston.

MoMoney’s picks for week # 8

Arizona St (+10)

This is the game ASU has been looking forward to since off season work outs. A Thursday night prime time home game with the whole country watching. 10 points is a lot to lay on the road in a hostile environment against a good defense and an offense that can put up enough points themselves.  ASU is avg. 464 yds/game and 36 pts/game. While ORE numbers are a bit better, the ASU defense is better than anything they have faced so far. I also like that fact that ORE is sending in a Freshman QB into an environment that he has never seen before. It is ASU’s defense that is going to get them the cover in this one. I think ORE will pull out a close one, but  ASU has enough to hang around and make this one interesting. Oregon 34  Arizona St. 27

Rutgers (-5)

Rutgers is not a flashy team, but they are solid. I don’t think enough has been said about how good the RUT defense has been. They are only allowing 58 yds/game on the ground. Temple is not going to be able to move the ball in this one. Temple is avg. less than 300 yds/game so I don’t see them able to move the ball well enough to put up points in this one. At 23.5 pts/game on avg. I just don’t see them able to score enough to keep it within 5. Rutgers 27  Temple 17

Ball St (-3.5)

The bottom line here is that the Ball St offense is pretty darn good, and C. Mich. defense isn’t. Ball St. averages nearly 500 yds/game on offense and has scored 33 pts/game. C. Mich. is giving up nearly 500 yds/game and nearly 40 pts/game. C. Mich has given up 136 pts in the past three weeks, just not enough defense here for the Chippewas. Ball St. 38  C. Michigan 31

N. Illinois (-14)

Jordan Lynch is been really……really good the past few weeks. N. Illinois has only lost one game all year (by 1 point) to an Iowa team at home, yeah the same Iowa team that just beat Michigan St. N. Illinois is rushing for over 240 yds/game and is scoring just under 37 pts/game. Combine that with a solid defense and the Zips don’t have a chance. Akron is near the bottom of all Div I teams in points allowed at 38/game so I see more of Jordan Lynch through the air and on the ground. Akron has had games giving up 56, 41, 47, 56, and 34 points so far this year. N. Illinois doesn’t just cover they cover big. Northern Illinois 45  Akron 21 (tie-breaker score)

La-Monroe (+3.5)

I think the wrong team is favored here. Take a look at some of these stats.

Total off:                            UL-Monroe – 485 yds/game,           W. Kent. – 367 yds/game.

Rushing Off:                      UL-Monroe – 197 yds/game           W. Kent. – 186 yds/game

Passing Off:                       UL-Monroe – 288 yds/game           W. Kent. – 181 yds/game

Points Per Game:               UL-Monroe – 38.8 PPG                  W. Kent. – 26.2 PPG

Points Allowed Per Game: UL-Monroe – 25.0 PPG                  W. Kent – 24.4 PPG

Monroe racks up more yards per game, they run the ball better, they pass the ball better, they score more points per game and the defenses are about a wash, yet they are getting 3.5 points. I have been riding La-Monroe just about all year and they have done me well. W. Kentucky beat Monroe last year by 3 in OT and this Monroe team is much better. Not only will Monroe be within 3.5, but they will win the game out right. LA-Monroe 31   W. Kentucky 27

 


 

Winston’s picks for week # 8

ASU + 10

I got this at 10 earlier in the week and I just noticed it has slid to 8, I am not sure what line I am supposed to use for the purposes of this but I used the one I wagered on. I also parlayed ASU + 14 1/2 -190 into several bets. ASU had a bunch of turnovers and didn’t play well in their solitary loss at Missouri, I believe that was an aberation. I like the speed, defense, coaching and physicality of the Sun Devil team. Oregon is a very good team but I keep thinking back to the fact that they have a freshman QB on the road for their first real test of the year. This will be an interesting game to watch and for the first time we have a decent game on Thursday night football. Oregon 31-30

Kansas State +2 1/2

This will be a high scoring game and in these kind of games the better defense usually prevails. Even though K State beat Oklahoma at their place they still get no national respect. All we see is Colin Klein run, good coaching and error free football. What’s wrong with that? West Virginia’s defense couldn’t stop a cold. Kansas State 48-35

Cal +2 1/2

Stanford has 87% of the betting public behind them as of today and I don’t buy it. Cal has very good athletes but a bi-polar QB (Maynard) who scares me to death, but I still like them in this spost. Keenan Allen is a top 5 NFL pick and they have speed to burn on defense and offense. Cal 28-17

Texas A & M + 3 1/2

This is another game I am going against the public bigtime. Lsu has a terrible offense, they are 74th in the entire nation. Their defense is first class but I like A & M to win this game by wearing out LSU similar to what Florida did. I like home dogs in the SEC. 17-14 A & M (tie-breaker selection)

Michigan State +10

Like the Spartans to keep it close in this rivalry game. They have looked lousy the last two weeks but there will be no problem in motivating MSU this week. Michigan 21-17

 


 

Requirements

Anyone can enter. Just place your 5 Best Picks ATS in the comments section below.

1. If possible (but not a requirement), please give us a short write-up and analysis for each game.

2. There cannot be any duplicate cards. So if someone has already selected the 5 games in which you were going to play, you must change at least one of your sides/totals.

3. Please use current spreads and totals.

4. Please do not buy points. If the current spread is +2.5, do not use +3 (-120), etc.

TIE-BREAKER

1. Please submit ONE FINAL SCORE for any game of your choice among your 5 picks. Obviously if this game loses, then you automatically lose your chance to be involved in the tie-breaker. So choose wisely which game you will use for your final score.

2. I will then take the actual final score difference of the game you selected, minus your projected final score difference to determine your tie-breaker number. So if ASU beats Oregon this week 38-31 and you predicted ASU to win 41-38, your tie-breaker number would be 4 (actual difference 7 minus projected difference 3 = 4).

3. If there is still a tie, we will than see which combined score is closest to the actual combined score ……. in other words the total.

That’s it for this week. Hopefully things go a little smoother this time. Also, please feel free to leave any comments or suggestions on how we can improve the concept.

Thanks

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31 Responses to “TSE Week 8 Guest Handicapper Challenge”

  1. Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

    A few more quick notes. We had a few good suggestions last week about how we could improve things. One suggestion was that we use one site for everyone to get the line from. I think this is a good idea, however, I am not sure which place we should all use. Any suggestions? How about Bookmaker? Everyone can access their lines without an account.

    Another suggestion was to keep a season long total for the “best handicappers” on the site. I really like this idea, but again, I am not sure how best to go about doing this right now. Hopefully we continue to get more and more weekly participants and keeping track of them all would be tough. Maybe we just keep an ongoing record of each winner, so that by bowl season of this year we’d have about 9 or 10 guys.

    Lastly, please let me know if you don’t understand the tie-breaker system. And remember, you only need to submit ONE FINAL SCORE to use for the tie-breaker. If you want to submit final scores for each game, just make sure you yell me and/or designate which game you want to use for the tie-breaker.

    Thanks,

    Pez

  2. Winston says:

    Hello from the Left Coast,

    I am writing this today because I am on the Thursday night game,

    ASU + 10

    I got this at 10 earlier in the week and I just noticed it has slid to 8, I am not sure what line I am supposed to use for the purposes of this but I used the one I wagered on. I also parlayed ASU + 14 1/2 -190 into several bets. ASU had a bunch of turnovers and didn’t play well in their solitary loss at Missouri, I believe that was an aberation. I like the speed, defense, coaching and physicality of the Sun Devil team. Oregon is a very good team but I keep thinking back to the fact that they have a freshman QB on the road for their first real test of the year. This will be an interesting game to watch and for the first time we have a decent game on Thursday night football.

    Oregon 31-30

    Kansas State +2 1/2

    This will be a high scoring game and in these kind of games the better defense usually prevails. Even though K State beat Oklahoma at their place they still get no national respect. All we see is Colin Klein run, good coaching and error free football. What’s wrong with that? West Virginia’s defense couldn’t stop a cold.

    Kansas State 48-35

    Cal +2 1/2

    Stanford has 87% of the betting public behind them as of today and I don’t buy it. Cal has very good athletes but a bi-polar QB (Maynard) who scares me to death, but I still like them in this spost. Keenan Allen is a top 5 NFL pick and they have speed to burn on defense and offense.

    Cal 28-17

    Texas A & M + 3/12

    This is another game I am going against the public bigtime. Lsu has a terrible offense, they are 74th in the entire nation. Their defense is first class but I like A & M to win this game by wearing out LSU similar to what Florida did. I like home dogs in the SEC.

    17-14 A & M

    Michigan State +10

    Like the Spartans to keep it close in this rivalry game. They have looked lousy the last two weeks but there will be no problem in motivating MSU this week.

    Michigan 21-17

    I am certain the games I have taken won’t be touched by most people and that is why I like my chances.

    • Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

      Looking good Winston. I’ll get these up in the main section asap. When you get a chance give me a final score for the game of your choice for the tie-breaker.

      Thanks

  3. SpartanDawg says:

    All dogs:

    ASU +8.5
    MSU +9.5
    Tenn +20.5
    Toledo +6.5
    Middle Tenn St +19.5

    These are the lines I’ve gotten from a weekly pool I’m in

    • Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

      SpartanDawg, I like everyone of these picks. I’m already on ASU, MSU & Tennesee. I failed to hit Toledo when it went to 7.5, so I’m kind of pissed off about that.

      If you could, give us a final score for any game of your choice so we can use it in case of a tie.

      Thanks for the picks and GL ….. especially tonight.

      GO DEVILS!

  4. Brett says:

    Texas/Baylor over 80
    West VA -3
    TCU +2
    Kansas +35
    Iowa St. +14

  5. Riley says:

    Game of the Week: ULM +3.5 31-27 ULM wins
    Just missed on them last week on a meaningless TD at the end. Now they are dogs against the ATS darling Hilltoppers by more than a FG?! WKU schedule has been pretty weak outside of Bama and Monroe keeps playing better. This matchup could decide who wins the Sun Belt so I think the better team (ULM) comes out and wins SU.

    MTSU +19.5
    I liked this a lot more until Benny Cunningham went down, but still like it w/o him. They will still be a run heavy team that should control the clock. Last week, MSU’s run D got trashed for 6ypc by Tenn (albeit in a win). Plus MSU has Bama, A&M, and LSU the next 3 weeks. Overacheiving team + huge look ahead spots = A cover for the DD road dog (with Benny, I would have played a small ML bet; don’t expect it to happen, but at +900 it would have been a good risk)

    PSU +3
    Rutgers -5.5
    Two teams that I’ve road all year that have been doing well. I’m not deserting either this week. Iowa is overrated especially w/ Weisman out. Rutgers O hasn’t been great, but they have the right pieces to beat most teams in the Big East.

    Baylor +9.5
    Both defenses suck. In a shoot-out, take the team getting more than a TD. I see this one playing out a lot like the BU/WVU game: Texas will be up 10-14 points w/ 5 mins left, BU will score to cover, then Texas will kill the clock and win but not cover. People on Texas will bitch about getting backdoored, but they should see it coming.

  6. Eric says:

    Since it looks like the previous posters went pretty much all Dogs, I’ll ride the chalk and take the following favorites.

    Western Kentucky (-3.5) – All they do is cover, plus back at home.

    Rutgers (-5.5) – Salty on defense and just enough offense to make the cover.

    Nebraska (-6.5) – Pelini teams coming off a loss I believe give up 18.5 ppg. Nebraska averages in the 30.s. Split the bit and Nebraska 34-23 (Also my tie breaker)

    Southern Miss (-2.5) Southern finally gets a breather and has been playing better ball lately, especially at the QB position. Marshal is horrid on D (107th)

    Floria (-3) 3 straight big games for the Old Ballcoach, I think this is the week it all catches up and they come crashing down hard.

    Feel free to use any adjusted line from bookmaker.

  7. Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

    Guys, thanks for all the picks. Please toss in one final score on the game of your choice (among your 5 selections), just in case we have a tie.

  8. Winston says:

    Pez,

    Whst line are we going to use for these games. They are jumping all over the place this week. I think I am the only guy in the world on K-State, Cal and A & M. Final score 20-17 Texas A & M

    W

  9. Winston says:

    Pez,

    OK… Looks like I got the extra 1/2 on KState which will probably not matter in this kind of game.

    W

  10. kiel says:

    Northwestern +6.5

    Nebraska is not a very good football team, especially on the road. They also struggle against dual threat QB’s like Northwestern’s Colter.

    Cal +3

    Good home team. Defense is getting better and they have more offensive potential than Stanford.

    Fresno State -16

    Wyoming’s pass defense is terrible. Derek Carr is having a great season and should put up big number here. Fresno State 38-17 (Tie-breaker score)

    Middle Tennessee +18.5

    Bad spot for Miss State with Alabama on deck. Middle should keep it close.

    UNLV +28

    The Rebels can score points. Boise State is not as good as past teams. I see them winning this game by 20-21 points.

  11. Tribetimenow says:

    South Carolina/Florida Under 41 (Tie Breaker game)

    Going back to the well of SEC unders. What LSU did to SC’s defense on the ground does give me cause for concern, but what doesn’t is Florida’s 114th ranked pass offense. SC has the #12 rated defense, Florida #13. Add in a banged up Larimore I like this game to go under. Florida 16 South Carolina 13

    BYU/Notre Dame Under 40

    Betting that ND (no matter the starting QB) won’t put up 332 passing yards on BYU like OSU did last weekend. These are still statistically two top notch defenses (BYU #5, ND #11). Brian Kelly’s boys win ugly again. Notre Dame 20 BYU 14

    Toledo +5

    I personally locked this in at +7.5 earlier this week. Hate crossing key numbers, but I really like UT here. Being a former Rocket, it is VERY hard to come into the Glass Bowl at night and get a W. I am willing overlooking Toledo’s defense and betting that Cincy will struggle in their first true road game against a team who can put up some points. Toledo 38 Cincinnati 35

    Georgia Tech -14

    GT off a bye week vs BC playing their 3rd straight road game. I look for GT’s offense to just run all over BC’s 117th rushing defense. GT gets enough stops for the cover. GT 41 BC 20

    Michigan State +10

    Seems like a popular pick this week but I am a true believer that if you make Denard beat you with his arm (104th rated passing offense), you can be in any game. MSU has the rushing defense to make this a low scoring affair. I am on the under as well (and almost made it my last play), but this is too many points in a rivalry game. MSU 17 Michigan 14

  12. Bryan Rahn says:

    Sorry I don’t have time for a write up this week, but my picks to click, lock ‘em up!

    Rutgers -4.5 over Temple – Score 27-13
    Iowa State +14 over Oklahoma State
    Iowa -2.5 over Penn State
    Wisconsin -16.5 over Minnesota
    Miami +21 over Florida State

  13. Seth says:

    My square picks are as follows:

    1. Stanford -2.5 at California– I’m getting a team that has a solid running back against a team that has allowed over two hundred rushing yards twice (vs. Nevada and USC)? Yes, Nunes has struggled on the road but Cal has struggled at home (notwithstanding UCLA). I’ll go with the public on this and say Stanford wins on the road 21-17.

    2. Connecticut +4.5 at Syracuse– This game to me is a coin flip and I’m getting 4.5 points. I’ll go with the team with the better defense (13th ranked in rushing YPG against, 8th ranked in passing YPG against) here. Final Score Syracuse 21-Connecticut 20.

    3. Colorado +41 at Southern Cal – I come from a Trojan family and I know this team and coach very well. I keep scratching my head when I see these giant spreads. What has USC done in their body of work to justify a 6 td spread? All Colorado needs to do to cover is get to 10. I really doubt USC puts up more than 7 scores (unless the defense scores a few tds). Kiffin can’t afford injuries to starters so I expect 2nd stringers to play the majority of the fourth quarter. Also, there may be a little bit of looking ahead as their schedule is going to pick up really fast. Final Score USC 42-13 (tiebreaker).

    4. Kansas State +2.5 at WVU- West Virginia is a one-trick pony. You don’t win games when your defense gives up 6.33 yards per play. Kansas state wins the time of possession battle and that is how you beat West Virginia. I like Hubert and Klein to control the clock and come out of Morgantown with a victory. 42-32.

    5. Michigan State +9.5 at Michigan- For my final pick, I’ll continue the theme of taking the road team. I think 9.5 is too much for a team that really hasn’t proven they can beat a solid roster by double digits. Yes, they hammered Purdue, Illinois, and Massachusetts, but those teams have a combined record of 5-14. Again, I’m going with the better defense and a team that will manage time of possession. The interesting angle in this game is Denard has never beaten Michigan State, so I expect a concerted effort by him and other Seniors. Still, I think Michigan squeaks this one out. Michigan 28-Sparty 24.

  14. DeyDeyDiaz says:

    My picks are based on evaluating betting patterns and line movements. I quit trying to apply my football IQ to my handicapping long ago but here are my 5 play w/a few comments:

    1. South Florida +5.5
    Which flavor of the week will Louisville or S.Fla show on Saturday? These two are some of the most inconsistent ball clubs I’ve seen in a while but when it comes down to it, there is too much speed and a bit more maturity on the visitors side. Most important, Louisville is playing at home, getting 75% of a modest handle, and yet the line has not only dropped from its opening 8 but has also soared under the key number of 7 all the way to the bland line of 5.5. Won’t ask why, I’ll follow the money.

    2. Cal +2.5
    Similar to the above, 75% on Stanford, heavy handle, moved off key opener of -3 which takes more than inconsequential activity or information to do.

    3. Utah +10
    Have yet to see OSU perform as a predominant favorite like this spot against a formidable foe, who in this case is hugely underrated to boot. Oh yeah, without their QB too. I’d like Utah & the pts if the backup were a 5th year senior with a series of starts under his belt, let alone a young kid. Layer on Utah’s nose tackle and this looks like a fg game either way. (also some reverse line movement which affirms my side on this one).

    4. Boston College +14
    Bad spot for GTech. Line movement has been nominal but it’s towards the Eagles favor and is still at a key number which adds an element of having backdoor cover insurance built-in.

    5. Western Kentucky -3.5
    I know this defies every analysis I’ve seen online this week, including Sabert’s midas touch, but the public is also leaning the dog with 65% of the action. Yet despite all the one-sided analysis and public action, the line still moved over the key 3 today in favor of the home favorites (who have covered 15 in a row). I agree with the assessment that the wrong team is favored but can’t make sense of why then this is moving the other way. Why ask why?-I’ll assume my fb assessment is incorrect and follow the money.

    Tie Breaker Final:
    OSU 13 – UTAH 20

    • SabertStxVii SabertStxVii says:

      DeyDey — very interesting theories in how you’re getting to your plays. Definitely think there is a ton of value by taking out the personal opinion. What site do you use to get your bet %? Do you normally make your plays on a certain day or a certain time before games or does it just depend on the line movement?

      Thanks for posting.

      • DeyDeyDiaz says:

        Sabert- First off, congratulations on the first 1/2 of the season. I don’t too often see forum level plays get weighted for confidence but I’ve become a believer of your larger unit plays each week and have begun to incorporate your picks as a measure to qualify mine…so thank you.

        Yeah, I use SportsInsights data service as my primary data source for info and have come to adopt many of their betting philosophies which center around contrarian wagering (betting against the public). I’m a huge proponent of what they offer and have had great success ever since partnering, almost unbelievable in fact.

        Since I don’t really handicap anymore (at least I try my damnedest to to not allow my football assessment of the game affect my play), I don’t have the skill-set or resources to build my own algorithms or predictive analysis which kicks out what the line “SHOULD BE”. But by watching the wagering data closely, I am able to make inferences on what the sharps have for their true-line assessment and shop that number for the best value accordingly. That said, I’m generally behind the main line movement but can still beat a completely devalued number because the public action will bring slight recovery towards the opening line as we approach game day/time. So to answer your question…I usually get in as soon as there is simultaneous movement from multiple books (presumably from sharps) or, most often the case, I’m stuck waiting until gameday/eve so that the public can re-inflate the number considering 95% of my action is on the dog or the under. This betting strategy is far more effective in the NFL b/c of the bet size/game and that it attracts much more casual bettors who create value by overreacting to last week’s news, injuries, and outcome.

        Sorry for the winded response. Be happy to share more if interested but encourage checking out SportsInsights.com if you don’t already use their services.

        Good luch this week. Keep it up.

        Cheers,

        DeyDey

  15. Tim Holy says:

    Tim H was name used last week

    Stanford -2.5

    I know Stanford is winless on the road, but I’m buying Stanford’s defense and I’m selling Cal and their offense. I believe Stanford can’t wait to get on the field after the devastating loss last week. The home team has not covered in the last 3 games of this series.

    Iowa State +14

    I just don’t see how Ok St is a 2 td fav. I think the talent level of both clubs are even. Iowa State is a tough and gritty team that I can see frustrating OK St. I also think the noon start helps–it helps neutralize any of that revenge factor from last year. 14 points is a lot to lay against a good defense…and depending if you counted the Sav St game, OK ST is 1-3 vs the spread this year.

    Colorado +41

    Not stealing this play, but I grabbed this at 42 when it came out. This is my pick that scares me the most, but I see this game going a lot like the USC – Hawaii opener (norm chows club covered after a very disturbing 1st half.) I think Colorado is just a shred better than Hawaii and they had a couple extra days to lick their wounds after the terrible 2nd half they played against ASU. The 2 teams are a combined 2-9 ATS; ill run against the underachieving team laying 41. As long as CU doesn’t give up any special team or defensive TDs, I think Colorado only loses by 35.

    NC State -3

    Bye week makes a big difference in is game. The ‘pack have had a lot of time to absorb their big win FSU and realize they will be in the thick of the Atlantic division race if they win on Sat. I think NC State makes a few big plays and keys in on Diggs and shuts down Maryland’s offense (if you can even call it that).

    Mich -9

    Really going against the grain here but I am really feeling good about this pick. MSU has shown itself to be a middle of the pack Big 10 team with a 1 dimensional offense. The pressure is off of UM after losing to Bama and ND and they can go back to be a team who dominates very average teams. I know it’s a rivalry game, but you think Denard is going to be happy with a 7 point lead at any point in the game? I bet the Big House will be rocking and UM pours it on as Denard and the seniors finally beats Sparty…big. Mich 35 Mich State 17

  16. Winston says:

    GM Vietnam!

    Cal bet was way off, 2-3 in this venue is not going to get it done. KState, Michigan State, Duke and good ol Rugers saved my Saturday. A & M really choked after the 1st quarter, no adjustments. I still don’t think LSU is a great team by any stretch, time will tell. They are very fortunate they get Bama at home. Miss St this week is a 24 point dog at Alabama, the tide never covers at home at LSU is on deck. Public is all over Miss St so I will probably stay away. No way Oregon covers 45 this week with USC on tap this week. Skip Kelly will have the reserves in by the 2nd quarter. Also leaning towards Penn State if the line stays below 3. How did Purdue blow that game? Trent Money does a great job on the O/U’s, thanks! I will send you a Christmas Turkey!

    • Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

      Winston,

      I watched that entire Cal-Stanford game (i went under 49) and Stanford just dominated them. Maynard is just not a good QB. Cal D played well for the most part, but they missed a lot of tackles in the first half.

      I had Ohio State on my weekly ML parlay (used it in last weeks’s newsletter) and I thought it was history. Buckeye backup QB got the job done. He made a few really good/important passes in the clutch.

      Trentmoney’s totals are now 4-0 in the newsletter and I believe he has provided several more winners here in the comments section these past few weeks. By my count he is literally on a three week winning streak where he hasn’t lost a single game (he is something like 12-0 the past 3 weeks).

  17. Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

    Quick Recap.

    Looks like we had three guys go 4-1 again this week, including last week’s co-winner MoMoney. Based on the tie-breaker rules that we implemented last week (in this article), Riley barely squeezes by MoMoney by 3 points. He predicted a 4 point win for ULM and they won by 1 point (3 point difference).

    MoMoney predicted a 24 point win for NIU and they won by 30 (6 point difference).

    Our other 4 game winner this past week was Tribetimenow. However, he lost his tie-breaker pick of SC-Florida U 41. He predicted Florida 16 South Carolina 13 (in this case had the game in fact gone under I would have taken 29 as his predicted score and subtracted the difference of the actual score to come up with his tie-breaker number).

    Thanks to everyone who participated. There were some great picks and insight as hoped for. I’ll get this week’s challenge up again on Wednesday, and as Winston said, 2-3 (or even 3-2) is not going to get it done in this venue, we have some good cappers here.

  18. MoMoney says:

    Pez,
    Did you ever think of a way to keep a running total so we can see who the “top capper” of the year would be? Might be kind of fun to see who can put the best numbers together over the course of the season.

    • Pezgordo Pezgordo says:

      MoMoney,

      Until we come up with a better idea, here is what I was thinking of doing. I think I can set up a quick “spreadsheet” looking graphic in this weeks “Guest Handicapper” article that lists Week # 7′s co-winners and this past weeks (week # 8) winner (if it is easy enough I’ll include everyone who went 4-1 this past week) and then we’ll keep a running total of how they do each week for the rest of the season.

      At the end of each week we’ll add the winner from that week too …. so they may only have a few weeks of picks by week 13 or 14.

      Lets see how it looks this Wednesday and we can tweak it from there. It’s not a perfect solution because there may be someone that goes 3-2 every week (or even 4-1 but doesn’t win) and he will never be part of the running total.

      On the other hand I don’t believe we can have a massive “matrix” type graphic that includes everyone because that would just take to much time.

      After everyone sees the graphic maybe we’ll come up with a better solution.

  19. MoMoney says:

    Perfect. The last thing we want is to take to much time. Time should be spent evaluating and discussing the up coming games so we can all win more money. Keep up the great work. I have weekly capping bets with all of my buddies and I am trying to keep your site from them, just to much good information here. I have been kicking their butts since I found your site.

  20. Winston says:

    Saturday, October 27th,

    New Mexico +14

    Fresno State has been blowing teams out as of late and that is the reason for this inflated line. New Mexico on the other hand has covered 4 straight and new head coach Bob Davie has done an excellent job during his rebirth after being in the booth at ESPN.

    32-27 Fresno State

    Toledo -7

    Buffalo is a lousy team with a challenged QB, Toledo will score at least 4o in this game and win going away.

    42-17 Toledo

    Colorado +45 1/2

    Oregon will be up by at least 35 at half time and use their backups for the entire 2nd half as they get ready for USC next week. The last three times they have done this the visiting team has covered via the backdoor.

    Oregon State -4

    Washington is good home dog but this is just not enough points I believe.

    Miss ST + 24 1/2

    For the same reasons as the Oregon game I think Bama is looking ahead to LSU next week even though Miss St has not lost yet.

    Alabama 37-21

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