Pezgordo’s College Football Picks – YTD: 34-31 ATS
My totals are still not hitting at the rate I would like to see, but starting to get some good numbers and stats to work with going forward. I went 6-7 on my posted picks, but hit both BEST BETS (1.5 units each), and once again hit my newsletter consensus pick of Minnesota – Iowa U 46.5. GoSooners and I also had a come from ahead push with our newsletter consensus pick of Kentucky +21. That one still bothers me.
Had a pretty good weekend for my season win totals as UCLA, Iowa and Oregon State were all winners. Tennessee lost, but played UGA tough. Utah and Auburn had the weekend off.
A few early ones for Week # 5:
Florida +3 (1.5 units)
I was going to get off this game as it was a Sunday night knee jerk selection (along with Florida) where I thought the number was off and would move in my favor. The number has since moved against me (down to 3.5) and I read a lot of disturbing information about USF and their travel troubles. However after finally getting around to running some numbers on this game all I could say was “WOW,” Temple is one bad football team. If USF and Skip Holtz can’t take care of business in this game they are both in a lot of trouble.
Colorado State +16
USC – Utah U 48 – LOSER
Michigan State – Indiana U 48.5
Ole Miss +11
Michigan – Purdue U 59
I used this pick as our weekly BEST BET at College Football Zealots. We’ve hit 4 in a row over there and can hopefully keep things going with this one. I certainly have a concern with the Purdue defense as they allowed over 500 yards in this game last year. But that was in Ann Arbor and I don’t think the Michigan offense is quite up to last year’s standards, so expecting a little better defensive effort.
Boston College – Army O 57
jimmyahivers has a good write-up n this game here. My numbers and correlations give this game a good chance of going over as well.
Despite playing the statistically better offenses, SMU is still the better defensive team in this match-up. They are also the potential running dog and with UTEP’s poor run defense, the Mustangs should in fact end up being the running dog. The better defense and running dog is usually a good combination.
Virginia Tech +7 (-120)
The remainder of my selections will be in this weeks newsletter. So if you haven’t done so already, please sign-up for our weekly FREE newsletter.
Good luck this week everyone.