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Razor Baseball – 8/7/2017

Razor Baseball – 8/7/2017

Padres/Reds

It is hard to imagined that anyone has tonight’s game between the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds marked on their calendar. With a gun to the head, it is even difficult for a casual bettor to pick a side. However, there are a few things that can be observed while both of these teams are in a natural and nonchalant state of mind. Let’s face it. There is no spoiler situation here, and both teams are well out of contention. This is not going to be a series of any importance to either team. This does not mean that there isn’t an edge of some sort though.

In their last series, the Reds were bad in the last two games against the Cardinals. However, their 13-4 loss yesterday was not a concrete reflection of overall pitching…but more so of the bipolar nature of Homer Bailey, who gave up 10 runs in his limited outing. Today they bring Tim Adleman to the mound; a multi-pitch arsenal pitcher who has yet to find his groove in the big leagues so far. While Adleman has been below mediocre pretty much this entire season, in all fairness he has also faced some of the toughest offenses as well. In his last ten starts, every single club he faced was either a playoff contender or a team with explosive bats. Today, he will hopefully get a break against one of the worst offenses in baseball. The San Diego Padres rank dead last in both runs (420) and batting average as a team (.234). With a bit of versatility in the arsenal, this may be the break that Adleman needs to finally have another quality start. While the Reds bullpen may be a little taxed, expect the available arms to also have a break with an unmotivated Padres lineup.

Jhoulys Chacin at glance, is a far better and more experienced pitcher overall than Adleman. Upon further investigation, he is arguably the worst road pitcher in baseball. It is clear that the has molded his arsenal to succeed in the remote conditions of the west coast. In stadiums of altitudes of 500 feet or higher this season, Chacin has given up 15 earned runs in 22.1 innings pitched. With Cincinnati being a top five altitude stadium, I have reasons to believe that he will run into trouble again. The Padres used the better part of their bullpen yesterday, so expect this to be a rough night for management. 

At their most natural and psychologically unaffected states, I think the Reds have quite the edge..as they are also a half decent home team.

Reds moneyline -115   2*

 

Cincinnati Reds pitcher Tim Adleman

Cincinnati Reds pitcher Tim Adleman

Cardinals/Royals

The battle of Missouri begins tonight between the St. Louis Cardinals and Kansas City Royals, in a matchup showcasing two teams that are on the playoff bubble. Though it is not crunch time just yet, both teams have been very erratic..and the best of emotions may be brought out in game one of this interleague rivalry. 

Ian Kennedy, a long time veteran, was looking like one of the more consistent pitchers between June and July. He has seem to enter the struggle zone once again, with a 6.43 ERA in his last three starts involving two implosions. I don’t think a high emotion game is a recipe for him to get back on track. The Cardinals had not seen a game go OVER in nine straight games until they ran a train on Homer Bailey yesterday. This could be a sign of things to come for their offense, and this could mean very bad news for Kennedy and even the relievers. 

Carlos Martinez was looking like the undisputed Ace for the Cardinals, until his last six outings where he gave up 5 earned runs in three of them. With the Dominican being out of rhythm, this is also very bad news for Cardinals pitching as the Royals seem to find their groove on offense in yesterday’s double header against Seattle (scoring a total of 16 runs in the two games). Martinez is also a pitcher who relies heavily on his fastball velocity and slider, and the humidity in the KC area won’t help his cause on the latter. St. Louis is a team that can hit four seamers very well, so that won’t be an advantage to Martinez either. 

While many may be considering fatigue to be a factor for the Royals from last night’s double header, we must also keep in mind that Kansas City did not have to travel anywhere. In fact, their bats should stay warm from a full days momentum of hitting. I expect the sparks to fly in this one.

OVER 9 -110   3*


Christopher has been handicapping MLB baseball since 2010. You can follow him on Twitter @RazorsInsight.


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