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Super Bowl 51 Betting Trends

Super Bowl 51 Betting Trends

The New England Patriots opened as 3 point favorites for Super Bowl LI, however, the team favored to win the Super Bowl is 3-12 ATS the last 15 years, including 0-5 straight up and against the spread in the last five matchups.

The Patriots have been an ATM this season going 15-3 ATS. They’ve also won in three of their last five Super Bowl appearances, but are just 1-4 ATS in those five games. All six of New England’s Super Bowls in the Tom Brady and Bill Belichick era have been decided by four points or less.

Atlanta is 13-5 ATS this season, including 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in its last six games and are averaging 39 points per game over that stretch. However, the Falcons haven’t fared well as a playoff underdog with an 0-5 SU and ATS record in their last five games as the dog. But more recently, Atlanta is 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog overall.

Super Bowl LI Total

The total for Super Bowl LI is set at 58.5 points, the highest total in the game’s history. The OVER is 3-1 in the last four Super Bowls

Atlanta is a whopping 15-2-1 to the OVER this year, including 7-0-1 in their last eight games. They have gone over in each of their last five against teams with winning records. The over is 5-0-1 in their last six games following a straight up win.

New England has gone 10-8 to the UNDER this season, but are 3-0 to the OVER in their last three games.

Super Bowl LI will match the best scoring defense in the NFL, New England is allowing 15.6 points per game, against the top scoring offense in the NFL in a Falcons team that averages 33.8 points per game. 

More Betting Trends to Consider

All-Time Super Bowl Betting Odds History from Oddsshark HERE.

Miscellaneous Trends:

  • A favorite of 3 or more points hasn’t won and covered in the Super Bowl since 2011.
  • Teams that average more than 30 points per game have gone 1-4 ATS in the Super Bowl.
  • Teams went 3-11 ATS after scoring 40 or more points in their previous playoff game.
  • Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a game with at least 250 passing yards. Ryan had 392 yards last time out. 
  • New England is 6-0 ATS in their last six following games in which Tom Brady had at least 250 passing yards. He had 384 yards last time out.
  • New England is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following games in which they allowed at least 350 total yards. Pittsburgh had 368 total yards against the Patriots last week.
  • The Patriots have gone over the total in six of their last seven playoff games and in 45 of their last 67 against teams with winning records. The over is 47-23 in their last 70 games following an ATS win.
  • New England has made eight prior Super Bowl appearances. They are just 2-5-1 ATS in those games and 1-4 ATS as favorites. The over is 4-4 in those eight prior appearances.

 

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