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Jimmyshivers Week 8 ACC Football selections

Jimmyshivers Week 8 ACC Football selections

Week 8 ACC Football Selections

Week 7 saw a largely forgettable performance from yours truly, with the posted plays resulting in a 2-2  -0.75 unit tally.  Unfortunately prior commitments prevented me from exploiting the bad opening lines this past Sunday (UNC opened at -11, LOL) so all our winnings are going to have to come from widely available lines.  Lets try and bounce back in Week 8!

Week 7 and season YTD Summary

YTD 18 19 -1.10 48.65%
Week Won Lost Δ Win%
1 1 5 -3.90 16.67%
2 2 3 -0.65 40.00%
3 4 2 2.08 66.67%
4 3 3 0.35 50.00%
5 3 0 3.00 100.00%
6 3 4 -1.23 42.86%
7 2 2 -0.75 50.00%


Week 8 ACC Plays w/ brief write-ups

Syracuse +7 -105 1U

Syracuse ML +230 0.5U

We get a great spot with an improving Orange team this week a bad Pittsburgh offense comes to town in a pretty big trap spot (off a big win at Georgia Tech with a massive game against UNC on deck).  Give me a touchdown on an inflated line (I made it Pitt -5) with an improving Syracuse team who has the better quarterback in this game. Cuse 24 Pitt 21

NC State – Wake Forest U45.5 1U

It’s a game that NC State desperately needs to win at a venue they haven’t won at since 2001.  My power rankings made this spread -13 but I can’t trust this NC State team to lay big points on the road against a solid defense.  Instead I’ll hit the under here in a game that is a solid match-up for both defenses.  After showing some early signs of life this season Wake’s offense is pretty painfully mediocre this season though they have their top QB back they just don’t have the skill position talent to consistently create space against more talented defenses.  NC State brings a power running game to the table that has lost a lot of its power since the dismissal of Shadrach Thornton and is going against a Wake defense whose strength is in stopping the run. NCSU is coming in off a bye here and I think they regroup enough to get a W, but they don’t have the playmakers in the passing game to be able to do much more than continue to be a ground and pound team.  I love this match-up for the NC State defense so even in a comfortable victory this game can still stay under.  NC State 24 Wake 14

Duke +3 -105 1U

As good as we expected the Hokies defense to be this season it’s time to face facts and admit that overall it’s a pretty average group.  It’s Duke who has the elite defense this season, and even in a game where Virginia Tech finally gets Michael Brewer back as a starter it figures to be a tough match-up for the Hokies.  Virginia Tech has finally found a bit of punch in the ground game in Trevon McMillian but his success so far this season has come against a couple of average rushing defenses (NC State, Miami).  Duke’s defense ranks 10th nationally in opponent’s yards per carry and if the Hokies struggle to get the ground game going here Brewer is in for a real chore throwing the ball against the strength of the Duke defense, this 5 man secondary.  On the other side this isn’t an explosive Duke team by any means but their ground game is solid and their going against a Hokies team who ranks 85th in yards per carry allowed.   In getting Duke +3 your getting a field goal with the better defense and (IMO) the much better coaching staff.  Duke continues their fantastic ATS run of the past few years and wins SU here in my opinion.  Duke 24 Virginia Tech 17

Louisville -7.5 1U

The Cardinals come in with a season that is already a disappointment as many of their goals for the season (acc title contention) have already been dashed.  However, this is a great match-up for Louisville as they are playing a horrendous BC offense (QB Jeff Smith went 7-22 for 87 yards against Clemson to set a new career high for QB rating) that will allow the vaunted Louisiville defense to build some confidence and really play aggressively against a painfully limited BC offense.  Offensively the Cardinals aren’t exactly coming into this game firing on all cylinders but it’s a group who is improving every week now that Lamar Jackson is officially the go to quarterback.  I see yet another ugly BC game but a game where the Eagles just cannot keep up without some semblance of offensive production.  Louisville 24 Boston College 7

Clemson – Miami O55 1U

Clemson has really impressed this season defensively but the bottom line is that this group has done it against a really poor group of opposing offenses.  Clemson so far has played only one offense that I currently have ranked in the national top 40 and that game was played in pretty adverse weather conditions (Notre Dame).  Miami’s defense has really been brutal against the run and that is a bad sign for them here against a Clemson team who is gaining confidence in the ground game and leaning more and more on stud RB Wayne Gallman.  I see this as a pretty close game but it’s right on my spread of Clemson -7.5 so for me the best play is to take the over with an Miami team who ranks 3rd nationally in red zone trips per game going against an overvalued Clemson defense.  Clemson 34 Miami 31

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